Botev Plovdiv 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.78/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.34
-17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-5 HT 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.09.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
23.05.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
06.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
07.04.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
08.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1-2
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia edged past Botev Plovdiv 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 51% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 49%, shots finished 20-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.33 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 32%, draw 25%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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