Atletico Nacional 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.71/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.05/1.61
+56% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 Passes 286
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-3 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
01.09.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
28.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
30.07.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
05.02.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
12.09.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional edged past Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.67 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Atletico Nacional 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Cup on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 57%, draw 23%, Jaguares De Cordoba 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOLK More Colombia - Cup
25 Oct 2024
02:30 Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto Analysis →