Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dainava Alytus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hegelmann Litauen v FK Dainava Alytus — Team-Based Signals
Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dainava Alytus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Hegelmann Litauen
LIT1
0-0
HT 0-0
FK Dainava Alytus
LITA
1-0
HT 0-0
Hegelmann Litauen
LIT1
Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 FK Dainava Alytus — Actual Match Statistics
FK Dainava Alytus squeezed past Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 69% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 31%, shots finished 17-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.50 for FK Dainava Alytus.
What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dainava Alytus?
Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dainava Alytus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 42%, draw 30%, FK Dainava Alytus 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.