Napoli vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Inter — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 3-1 Inter — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli saw off Inter 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Inter at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.
By the numbers, Napoli had 43% of the ball to Inter's 57%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.34 to 1.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napoli and 1.33 for Inter.
Napoli vs Inter Result & Final Score
Napoli 3 - 1 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Inter Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Napoli 26%, draw 29%, Inter 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5 went the other way.