LASK Linz 1-0 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.96/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.50
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
22.1 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.29 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
445 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
05.04.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
16.02.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
21.09.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-2 HT 2-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
1-0
AWAY Grazer AK
0.77 xG 0.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
450 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz nicked a narrow win over Grazer AK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LASK Linz had 61% of the ball to Grazer AK's 39%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.77 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for LASK Linz and 0.75 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Grazer AK?

LASK Linz 1-0 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 60%, draw 20%, Grazer AK 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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