Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Al Ahli
KAT
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-2
HT 1-0
Al Ahli
KAT
1-4
HT 1-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-1
HT 1-0
Al Ahli
KAT
3-3
HT 2-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
Al Gharafa got the better of Al Ahli 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli and 1.83 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa?
Al Ahli 1-3 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 28%, draw 24%, Al Gharafa 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.