Mazatlan 2-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-1.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.18/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.05
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.0 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Club America
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.59 xG 2.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 466
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Club America Club America 5-0 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
02.11.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-5 HT 0-4 Club America Club America MEK
22.02.2024 Club America Club America 2-2 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
07.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
29.01.2023 Club America Club America 6-0 HT 4-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
27.08.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-3 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-2
AWAY Club America
0.29 xG 2.36
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
213 Passes 486
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
4 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Club America shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Club America at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Mazatlan had 33% of the ball to Club America's 67%, shots finished 4-25, expected goals 0.29 to 2.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mazatlan and 3.83 for Club America.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Club America?

Mazatlan 2-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 20%, draw 20%, Club America 60%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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