Moss 1-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

Moss
1-1 HT 1-1
Aalesund
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Moss vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
65%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.29
Over 2.5
66%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.63
No
36%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
18%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
19%
-3.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.5pp
65%
Away Win
58%
+6.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
40%
-6.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
60%
+6.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
57%
+6.7pp
36%
BTTS No
43%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 62%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.52/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/0.45
+25% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +123%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
235 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Moss vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Aalesund
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
26.07.2025 Aalesund Aalesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
10.08.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
01.06.2024 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
04.07.2004 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss and Aalesund couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Aalesund carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Moss and 1.00 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Moss vs Aalesund?

Moss 1-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Moss 16%, draw 19%, Aalesund 65%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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