Sarpsborg 08 2-1 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.97
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
11%
6.18
X/2
17%
5.7
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.49
2/X
10%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.36/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.51
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +119%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.5 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2W-0D-1L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.77 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
466 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-3 HT 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
03.11.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
21.04.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-2 HT 0-2 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2-1
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.41 xG 1.20
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
284 Passes 532
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 edged past KFUM Oslo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sarpsborg 08 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 37% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 63%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.41 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo?

Sarpsborg 08 2-1 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 34%, draw 26%, KFUM Oslo 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFUM Oslo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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