KFUM Oslo 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.61
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
20%
5.33
X/2
12%
5.9
X/X
9%
4.48
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.21
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.48/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
26.6 Crosses 20.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 422
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
21.04.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-2 HT 0-2 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
1-3
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
0.81 xG 2.42
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
286 Passes 554
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 got the better of KFUM Oslo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sarpsborg 08 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 36% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 64%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.81 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.00 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?

KFUM Oslo 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 40%, draw 25%, Sarpsborg 08 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFUM Oslo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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