Molde 2-2 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
9.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.79
1/2
11%
22.9
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
10%
7.21
X/2
13%
5.17
X/X
7%
5.42
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
16%
2.86
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.07/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.17
+105% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
24.3 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 2.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
262 Passes 538
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Molde Molde 3-3 HT 2-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
21.04.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-1 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
25.03.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-5 Molde Molde HAZ
09.12.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOK
08.10.2023 Molde Molde 1-3 HT 1-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
02.07.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
POST-MATCH Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde and Bodo/Glimt couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Molde and 2.00 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

Molde 2-2 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Molde 38%, draw 21%, Bodo/Glimt 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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