Stromsgodset 1-2 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.58
1/2 EV+ ✓
12%
23.75
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.85
X/2
12%
5.23
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.03
2/X
9%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.75 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.62/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.26
+31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
19.4 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Brann
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.51
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
215 Passes 411
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2025 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
04.08.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-3 HT 1-2 Brann Brann NOR
28.06.2024 Brann Brann 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
03.12.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
16.07.2023 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
21.08.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-1 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
1-2
AWAY Brann
1.98 xG 3.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 11
10 Corners 9
260 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 54
31 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann edged past Stromsgodset 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Brann found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 42% of the ball to Brann's 58%, shots finished 19-27, expected goals 1.98 to 3.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brann's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.17 for Brann.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Brann?

Stromsgodset 1-2 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 37%, draw 26%, Brann 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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