Arka Gdynia 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 25 Oct 2025

Arka Gdynia
2-1 HT 2-1
Piast Gliwice
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
11%
5.58
X/X
13%
3.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.11
2/X
11%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 10% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arka Gdynia v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
0.56/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.43
-11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.3 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
374 Passes 340
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-3 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POLK
06.07.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-3 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice HAZ
07.04.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POLK
04.03.2020 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
29.09.2019 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.02.2019 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Arka Gdynia 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.76 xG 2.25
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
182 Passes 358
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 44
8 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia edged past Piast Gliwice 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Arka Gdynia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 37% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 63%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 0.76 to 2.25 — on chances, Piast Gliwice could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.50 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice?

Arka Gdynia 2-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 35%, draw 29%, Piast Gliwice 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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