Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.32
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.48
X/2
13%
6.32
X/X
8%
4.94
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.15
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 12.5 — our 13% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.73/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.93
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.2 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.95 xG 1.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
431 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 5-2 HT 2-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
14.09.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
30.03.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-1 HT 2-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-5 HT 0-2 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
08.04.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-2 HT 2-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
17.09.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
2-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.13 xG 2.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
347 Passes 254
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 33
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin nicked a narrow win over Cracovia Krakow 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Pogon Szczecin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 56% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 44%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.13 to 2.27 — on chances, Cracovia Krakow could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.50 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 37%, draw 27%, Cracovia Krakow 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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