Arka Gdynia 1-3 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.48/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.97
+4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
394 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
374 Passes 340
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.07.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-3 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice HAZ
07.04.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POLK
04.03.2020 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
29.09.2019 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.02.2019 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
15.09.2018 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
1-3
AWAY Piast Gliwice
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice beat Arka Gdynia 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Piast Gliwice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 50% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 50%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice?

Arka Gdynia 1-3 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 34%, draw 27%, Piast Gliwice 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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