Wigry Suwalki 2-3 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
23%
+13.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigry Suwalki EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 57%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+131% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigry Suwalki
2-3
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wigry Suwalki vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa edged past Wigry Suwalki 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonia Warszawa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wigry Suwalki had 35% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 65%, shots finished 10-19.

What was the final score of Wigry Suwalki vs Polonia Warszawa?

Wigry Suwalki 2-3 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigry Suwalki vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wigry Suwalki 36%, draw 20%, Polonia Warszawa 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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