Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 53%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz
1-0
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandecja Nowy Sacz edged past Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandecja Nowy Sacz had 37% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 63%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sandecja Nowy Sacz 32%, draw 26%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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