Lech Poznan II 1-3 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+6.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
63%
Away Win
71%
-8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -50%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan II
1-3
AWAY Korona Kielce
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan II vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce beat Lech Poznan II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Korona Kielce as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lech Poznan II had 52% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan II vs Korona Kielce?

Lech Poznan II 1-3 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan II vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan II 18%, draw 19%, Korona Kielce 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✗ BTTS No
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