Paços De Ferreira 4-1 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.74
Over
51%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.75
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
25%
3.85
6+
10%
17.65
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Paços De Ferreira The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense The Market 34%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.44 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
1.44 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.52
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.8 Crosses 15.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portimonense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Portimonense Portimonense 2-0 HT 2-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
08.12.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
06.02.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
15.08.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-3 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
05.02.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
29.08.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
4-1
AWAY Portimonense
1.65 xG 0.86
34% Ball Possession 66%
18 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
119 Passes 343
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Paços De Ferreira swept aside Portimonense 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Paços De Ferreira made the difference. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (58%) landed.

On the day, Portimonense saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.65 to 0.86.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Paços De Ferreira against 1.33 for Portimonense.

Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense Result & Final Score

Paços De Ferreira 4-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Paços De Ferreira vs Portimonense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 37%, draw 30%, Portimonense 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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