Uniao De Leiria 1-3 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.68
Over
40%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Uniao De Leiria The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes The Market 31%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.37 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.04
1.09 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.48
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leixoes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 0.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Leixoes Leixoes 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
03.11.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
06.04.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
18.11.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
05.03.2010 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR
04.10.2009 Leixoes Leixoes 3-2 HT 1-1 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
1-3
AWAY Leixoes
1.31 xG 3.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
359 Passes 190
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Uniao De Leiria vs Leixoes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leixoes got the better of Uniao De Leiria 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao De Leiria at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 64% to 36% in Uniao De Leiria's favour, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.31 to 3.21.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Uniao De Leiria against 0.67 for Leixoes.

Uniao De Leiria vs Leixoes Result & Final Score

Uniao De Leiria 1-3 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Uniao De Leiria vs Leixoes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 45%, draw 30%, Leixoes 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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