Peterborough United 0-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.68
Over
55%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.84
No
44%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.66
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
26%
4.07
6+
10%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.15
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.92
X/2
6%
6.82
X/X
12%
4.16
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
13%
5.23
2/X
8%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Peterborough United The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.58 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.93
1.25 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.02
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 65%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.5 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stevenage
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
415 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
08.10.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 2-0 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
05.10.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.03.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
28.11.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 2-2 HT 2-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
30.08.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
0-1
AWAY Stevenage
0.61 xG 1.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
435 Passes 174
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
13 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Peterborough United vs Stevenage
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stevenage came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Peterborough United 1-0 on their travels.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Peterborough United had 66% of the ball to Stevenage's 34%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.61 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Peterborough United and 1.17 for Stevenage.

Peterborough United vs Stevenage Result & Final Score

Peterborough United 0-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Peterborough United vs Stevenage Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 47%, draw 27%, Stevenage 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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