Bristol City 0-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.94
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
17%
6.28
X/2
14%
4.54
X/X
8%
4.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.13
2/X
7%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 46%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.49/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.09
+44% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -49%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.7
17.7 Crosses 27.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
275 Passes 317
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
19.10.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
10.04.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
03.10.2020 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-2 HT 1-2 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
01.07.2020 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
23.11.2019 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
0-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.70 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
441 Passes 449
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City and Nottingham Forest played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bristol City had 50% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 50%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.70 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bristol City and 1.00 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest?

Bristol City 0-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - FA Cup on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 39%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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