Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Jan 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
1-1 HT 0-1
Coventry
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.33
1/2
9%
23.45
1/X
12%
13.65
X/1
13%
7.43
X/2
11%
4.48
X/X
10%
4.92
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.63
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Coventry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.18/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.77
-87% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coventry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
248 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
26.12.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
27.01.2021 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
19.12.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
27.03.2010 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
17.10.2009 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1-1
AWAY Coventry
0.77 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
347 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday and Coventry shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 52% of the ball to Coventry's 48%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.77 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.17 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry?

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Coventry in the England - FA Cup on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 33%, draw 28%, Coventry 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coventry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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