Crystal Palace 1-2 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

Crystal Palace
1-2 HT 0-0
Brentford
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Crystal Palace vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 25% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.61
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
13%
4.98
X/2
10%
7.75
X/X
17%
5.47
2/1
5%
21.5
2/2
11%
5.18
2/X
4%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Brentford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.49/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.7 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Crystal Palace vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Brentford
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Brentford Brentford 2-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
30.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
26.08.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.02.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
30.08.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
12.02.2022 Brentford Brentford 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP

Crystal Palace 1-2 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
1-2
AWAY Brentford
1.08 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
223 Passes 251
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford squeezed past Crystal Palace 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 47% of the ball to Brentford's 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.00 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

Crystal Palace 1-2 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 44%, draw 28%, Brentford 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crystal Palace) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
26 Jan 2025
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