Aston Villa vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
West Ham United
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
Aston Villa 1-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa and West Ham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aston Villa at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aston Villa had 46% of the ball to West Ham United's 54%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aston Villa and 1.00 for West Ham United.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs West Ham United?
Aston Villa 1-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs West Ham United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 58%, draw 23%, West Ham United 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5 went the other way.