Fulham 0-1 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 26% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.24
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.36
X/2
15%
6.5
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.37
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.57/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.86
+41% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.9 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Manchester United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 2.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
317 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
24.02.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 1-2 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
04.11.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
28.05.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
19.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham FAK
13.11.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
0-1
AWAY Manchester United
0.67 xG 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
413 Passes 412
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United edged past Fulham 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Manchester United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fulham had 51% of the ball to Manchester United's 49%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.67 to 0.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fulham.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fulham and 1.67 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Manchester United?

Fulham 0-1 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fulham 39%, draw 27%, Manchester United 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fulham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Under 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
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