Almeria II 1-0 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.64
Over
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense The Market 29%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.46/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.21
+13% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Villanovense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.09.2024 Villanovense Villanovense 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
1-0
AWAY Villanovense
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II squeezed past Villanovense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almeria II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Almeria II had 51% of the ball to Villanovense's 49%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Villanovense?

Almeria II 1-0 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 42%, draw 27%, Villanovense 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria II), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria II) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
26 Jan 2025
00:00 Mallorca II vs Badalona Analysis →
13:30 Subiza vs Eibar II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Granada II Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Real Madrid III Analysis →
13:30 Navalcarnero vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Cacereno Analysis →