Cornella 1-1 Lleida Esportiu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
34%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cornella The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lleida Esportiu The Market 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.23/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.19
+27% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
214 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cornella
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-0 HT 1-0 Cornella Cornella İS4
21.02.2021 Cornella Cornella 0-1 HT 0-1 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
21.11.2020 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 2-3 HT 1-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
15.12.2019 Cornella Cornella 1-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cornella
1-1
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cornella vs Lleida Esportiu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cornella and Lleida Esportiu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Cornella had 54% of the ball to Lleida Esportiu's 46%, shots finished 6-1.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cornella and 1.00 for Lleida Esportiu.

What was the final score of Cornella vs Lleida Esportiu?

Cornella 1-1 Lleida Esportiu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cornella vs Lleida Esportiu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cornella 31%, draw 28%, Lleida Esportiu 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lleida Esportiu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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