Illescas 0-2 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.52
Over
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense The Market 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Conquense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Conquense Conquense 1-0 HT 0-0 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
0-2
AWAY Conquense
66% Ball Possession 34%
4 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense saw off Illescas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Illescas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Illescas had 66% of the ball to Conquense's 34%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Conquense?

Illescas 0-2 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Illescas 41%, draw 31%, Conquense 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Illescas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illescas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
26 Jan 2025
00:00 Mallorca II vs Badalona Analysis →
13:30 Subiza vs Eibar II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Granada II Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Real Madrid III Analysis →
13:30 Navalcarnero vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Cacereno Analysis →