Llanera 1-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.6
Over
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanera The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles The Market 38%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.82/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.01
+63% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanera
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
30.01.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-0 HT 0-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
12.09.2021 Llanera Llanera 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llanera
1-1
AWAY Real Aviles
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Llanera vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanera and Real Aviles couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Llanera had 50% of the ball to Real Aviles's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Aviles led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Llanera and 0.67 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Llanera vs Real Aviles?

Llanera 1-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanera vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Llanera 39%, draw 29%, Real Aviles 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Llanera), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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