Melilla 2-2 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
23%
2.83
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.52
Over
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No Pick
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
47%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
32%
-8.8pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF The Market 37%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.36/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.82
+22% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-0 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
23.04.2023 Melilla Melilla 2-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
11.12.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-2 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
24.01.2021 Melilla Melilla 0-3 HT 0-3 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
26.01.2020 Melilla Melilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
08.09.2019 Talavera CF Talavera CF 5-1 HT 2-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla and Talavera CF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Talavera CF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melilla and 1.67 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Talavera CF?

Melilla 2-2 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Melilla 40%, draw 23%, Talavera CF 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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