Torre Neapolis 0-2 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.68
Over
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.58
2-3
49%
1.71
4-5
15%
4.07
6+
7%
20.2
Value flag · 2-3 at 1.71 — our 49% vs market 49.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio The Market 70%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
21.01.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-1 HT 0-1 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
17.09.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 3-2 HT 2-2 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
0-2
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio beat Torre Neapolis 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sorrento Calcio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 52% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torre Neapolis and 1.33 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Sorrento Calcio?

Torre Neapolis 0-2 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 23%, draw 25%, Sorrento Calcio 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sorrento Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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