Triestina 1-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.74
Over
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.78
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
24%
3.76
6+
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco The Market 25%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.37/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.95
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Lecco
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
26.03.2023 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
27.11.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-2 HT 1-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
29.01.2022 Lecco Lecco 2-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
26.09.2021 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-1
AWAY Lecco
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and Lecco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Triestina had 55% of the ball to Lecco's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lecco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Triestina and 1.20 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Lecco?

Triestina 1-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Triestina 48%, draw 24%, Lecco 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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