Ingolstadt 3-1 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.18
Over
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.35
2-3
41%
1.91
4-5
24%
3.0
6+
12%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.35 — our 23% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
23%
4.09
X/2
8%
11.3
X/X
10%
6.27
2/1
9%
20.45
2/2
8%
8.76
2/X
7%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Ingolstadt win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching The Market 21%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.94/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.24
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.4 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
10.08.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.03.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-3 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
21.10.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
30.01.2021 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
03.10.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
02.06.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-2 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
3-1
AWAY Unterhaching
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
352 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt got the better of Unterhaching 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 53% of the ball to Unterhaching's 47%, shots finished 13-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ingolstadt and 0.67 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Unterhaching?

Ingolstadt 3-1 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 53%, draw 25%, Unterhaching 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5
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