Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Helmond Sport v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-3
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
Helmond Sport 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport squeezed past AZ Alkmaar II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Helmond Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Helmond Sport had 33% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 67%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.63 to 1.59 — on chances, AZ Alkmaar II could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Helmond Sport 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 40%, draw 28%, AZ Alkmaar II 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.