Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 2-0
Excelsior
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
2-3
HT 1-2
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
Excelsior 1-0 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior nicked a narrow win over ADO Den Haag 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Excelsior had 62% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 38%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.68 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Excelsior and 1.67 for ADO Den Haag.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag?
Excelsior 1-0 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 55%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.