Somaspor 0-1 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 48%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.81/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.71/1.00
-16% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Serik Belediyespor 1-1 HT 1-0 Somaspor Somaspor T2L-K
23.02.2022 Somaspor Somaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Serik Belediyespor S2-K
17.10.2021 Serik Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Somaspor Somaspor S2-K
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Serik Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor nicked a narrow win over Somaspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Serik Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Somaspor and 1.00 for Serik Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Somaspor 0-1 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 31%, draw 23%, Serik Belediyespor 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serik Belediyespor), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5
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