Van Spor FK 3-1 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-12.7pp
18%
Draw
13%
+4.9pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 9%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.65/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.25
+16% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Van Spor FK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.09.2024 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 0-3 HT 0-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
26.11.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 2-2 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK got the better of Nazilli Belediyespor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Van Spor FK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Van Spor FK and 1.00 for Nazilli Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Van Spor FK 3-1 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 68%, draw 18%, Nazilli Belediyespor 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
26 Jan 2025
14:00 Giresunspor vs Diyarbekir Spor Analysis →
14:00 Arnavutköy Belediye vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor Analysis →
14:00 Erbaaspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor Analysis →
14:00 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Analysis →
14:00 Somaspor vs Serik Belediyespor Analysis →
14:00 Elazığspor vs Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü Analysis →