Rayo Zuliano 1-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.68/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.11
+5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.0 Crosses 17.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.84 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 278
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.11.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-3 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
21.07.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
11.02.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
30.09.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.02.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-3 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1-1
AWAY Caracas FC
1.00 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
274 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano and Caracas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 47% of the ball to Caracas FC's 53%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.00 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.60 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC?

Rayo Zuliano 1-1 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 33%, draw 32%, Caracas FC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caracas FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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