Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.96
No
64%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.8pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
1.15/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.76
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
19.5 Crosses 19.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Carabobo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.73 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
301 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-3 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
22.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
24.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
22.06.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
21.05.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
09.09.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-2
AWAY Carabobo
0.36 xG 1.85
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
484 Passes 189
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo beat Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Carabobo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 68% of the ball to Carabobo's 32%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.36 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.17 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 33%, draw 31%, Carabobo 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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