Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Jan 2026

📅26/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.93/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.89
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Mekelakeya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 HT 1-0 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
11.12.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
13.04.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-2 HT 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
01.12.2023 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 HT 0-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0-1
AWAY Mekelakeya
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya nicked a narrow win over Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 53% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 47%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ethiopian Insurance had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 0.50 for Mekelakeya.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelakeya?

Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 26%, draw 32%, Mekelakeya 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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