Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Jan 2026

📅26/01/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.68
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
20.1
X/1
25%
3.68
X/2
6%
16.3
X/X
5%
5.67
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
4%
15.55
2/X
7%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+0.8pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.3pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
2.34/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.82
+3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
20.9 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.21 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
435 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
19.01.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-1 HT 1-0 Porto Porto POR
10.08.2024 Porto Porto 3-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
25.02.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
23.09.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
26.02.2023 Porto Porto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
3-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
2.25 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
366 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Porto vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto swept aside Gil Vicente 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Porto had 58% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.25 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Porto and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Porto vs Gil Vicente?

Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Porto 69%, draw 18%, Gil Vicente 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✓ BTTS No
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