Gil Vicente 3-1 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.4
1/2
14%
24.7
1/X
6%
20.6
X/1
8%
12.6
X/2
16%
3.7
X/X
15%
5.47
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.83
2/X
6%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.3pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-13.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.10/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.90
-15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +27%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
199 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
12.8 Crosses 18.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Porto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.87 xG 2.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
299 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Porto Porto 3-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
25.02.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
23.09.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
26.02.2023 Porto Porto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
21.12.2022 Porto Porto 2-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente PORLC
03.09.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
3-1
AWAY Porto
1.90 xG 0.92
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
211 Passes 338
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Gil Vicente vs Porto
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gil Vicente beat Porto 3-1 in the Portugal - Premier League on 19 Jan 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 41% of the ball to Porto's 59%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.90 to 0.92.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.83 for Porto.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Porto?

Gil Vicente 3-1 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 23%, draw 27%, Porto 50%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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