Moreirense 0-0 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.67
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.8
X/1
18%
4.18
X/2
7%
8.0
X/X
14%
3.71
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
7.18
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.50/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.29
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.4 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Farense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.52 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 261
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Farense Farense 1-2 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
24.02.2024 Farense Farense 0-1 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
23.09.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR
23.07.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Farense Farense PRLK
07.04.2023 Farense Farense 3-1 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR2
23.10.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 3-2 HT 1-1 Farense Farense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
0-0
AWAY Farense
0.61 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
408 Passes 166
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense and Farense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Moreirense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Moreirense had 66% of the ball to Farense's 34%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.61 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Farense.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Farense?

Moreirense 0-0 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 41%, draw 31%, Farense 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moreirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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