Nacional vs AVS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v AVS — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs AVS Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Nacional 3-1 AVS — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional got the better of AVS 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional had 49% of the ball to AVS's 51%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.39 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nacional had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional and 0.50 for AVS.
What was the final score of Nacional vs AVS?
Nacional 3-1 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs AVS?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nacional 43%, draw 23%, AVS 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.