Legia Varşova vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Legia Varşova
POL
5-1
HT 1-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
2-5
HT 1-3
Legia Varşova
POL
2-2
HT 0-0
Legia Varşova
POL
Legia Varşova 3-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova beat Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Legia Varşova made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 42% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 58%, shots finished 16-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.50 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Legia Varşova 3-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 37%, draw 30%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.