Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
1-1
HT 0-1
Piast Gliwice
POL
Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin beat Piast Gliwice 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 56% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 44%, shots finished 13-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 0.67 for Piast Gliwice.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?
Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 41%, draw 29%, Piast Gliwice 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.