Asteras Tripolis 0-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 32%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.42/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.41
-64% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OFI
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 422
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2025 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.11.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
27.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
21.12.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
26.08.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
22.04.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-1
AWAY OFI
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; OFI found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 54% of the ball to OFI's 46%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.67 for OFI.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Asteras Tripolis 0-1 OFI in the Greece - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 38%, draw 32%, OFI 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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