Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Al Riyadh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah shaded a tight game against Al Riyadh 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 46%. At 1.64 (~61%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, Al Riyadh had 47% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 53%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.33 to 1.53.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.83 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Result & Final Score
Al Riyadh 0 - 1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 11%, draw 18%, Al Ahli Jeddah 71%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.