AIK 4-0 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.5pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Valerenga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
03.12.2006 Valerenga Valerenga 4-2 HT 1-1 AIK AIK Iskandinavya Royal Lig
26.11.2006 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga Iskandinavya Royal Lig
POST-MATCH AIK vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK ran out comfortable winners over Valerenga 4-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 38% — and on the day AIK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AIK and 2.50 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of AIK vs Valerenga?

AIK 4-0 Valerenga in the Friendlies on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AIK 42%, draw 21%, Valerenga 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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